Tax - is the grass greener on the other side?

KPMG has published  a comparison of effective tax rates for people on US$100k a year in 86 countries (click here for the pdf file).  US$100k is the entry-point for internationally-mobile managers and mid-level professionals.  (KPMG also compares tax at US$300k for those further up the income ladder). The comparison excludes local government taxes and consumption taxes, and ignores what government provides in return (eg. healthcare). However, the figures are for a childless married income earner, not usually a big user of government services at this income level.

Once again, The Economist publishes an edited highlights graph.  For my English-speaking readers elsewhere:

  • New Zealand income tax 32%, social security 1%, total 33%
  • Australia income tax 29%, social security 1.5%, total 30.5%
  • Ireland income tax 21%, social security 7.3%, total 28.3%
  • Singapore income tax 9.3%, social security 10%, total 19.3%
  • Hong Kong income tax 10.5%, social security 0%, total 10.5% (but just to make you really turn green, tax waivers can return some of that to you!)

Economist KPMG tax 2009

International exchange rates: Mac Attack, anyone?

Most currency relative value tools look at some mix of goods in each country (purchase power parity). The Economist cuts through the complexity by looking at just one ubiquitous product sold by a single organisation - the McDonalds Big Mac.  Although the Big Mac index is really just a bit of fun, it has proved surprisingly effective over many years alerting people to significant disparities in currency fair values.

As with all international currency matters, the US dollar sets the base point.   In effect, this implies that the US dollar price of a good is fair value.  Clearly that’s not always so. The Europeans and, more recently, the Chinese have argued for an alternative, but there’s no sign of any real contender to be the new reserve currency.  With that caveat,  right now a Big Mac costs the Anglos and Japanese about the right price, the West Euros way too much, and most of the rest of the world way too little.  Sounds fairly accurate to me!

BMI 2009

The Great Credit Crunch: Blame it on the Netherlands and Microsoft

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula Da Silva proclaimed last month that the global financial crisis had been created by “white-skinned people with blue eyes.”  Now Walter Russel Read, writing recently in Newsweek, has gone a step further and blamed it all on the Dutch:

The modern financial system grows out of a series of innovations in 17th-century Netherlands, and the Dutch were, on the whole, as Lula describes them.

Read’s brief history of modern finance looks like a review of Microsoft Windows:

This financial and political system is the operating system on which the world runs; the Dutch introduced version 1.0 in about 1620; the British introduced 2.0 in about 1700; the Americans upgraded to version 3.0 in 1945, and as an operating system, it works pretty well - most of the time… But the system has bugs - among them, a tendency to crash.

I’m kidding about the blame; Read’s article is titled “In Defence of Paleface Capitalism.”

The 300 years of liberal, global capitalism have seen an extraordinary explosion in knowledge and human affluence. Not everybody shares in these benefits, and there are environmental and social costs to the rapid progress. Still, not many of us would like to turn the clock back to 1610.

… Lula … understands that for all its shortcomings, the market isn’t the enemy of the poor. Brazil’s task, Lula believes, isn’t to make war on the market, à la Venezuela’s Hugo Chávez, but to harness its vast potential for the sake of the poor. This is new. Thirty years ago, Brazil, like most of Latin America, was polarized between a radical, antiliberal left and a radical, antiliberal right. Today Brazilian politics are different; both the left and the right are more committed to free politics and free markets than they used to be.

Brazil is better off for the change. Although the current crisis is beginning to bite, Brazil has overcome the stagnation and corruption that halted growth after the first oil shocks and the Third World debt crisis, and is now one of a handful of countries with the power to shape the new century. And this hasn’t just been the story in Brazil; more and more “developing” countries are turning into the pacesetters of liberal global capitalism. So Lula is right: the global crisis emerged from a system built, with all its many flaws, by blue-eyed palefaces. But if countries like Brazil can stick with their own versions of Dutch finance, the future of the system will increasingly be shaped by people who look more like Lula - and the palefaces are going to have to run hard to keep up.

I think Read includes China, India, etc.; but it’s still moot what capitalism will look like as they reach their full potential.